for the period 01/01/2000 to 12/31/2000 CRIS Research Reports In-Progress for CAL1 - Agricultural Exp Sta Univ of California Berkeley AD-421 Reports in-Progress for CAL1 as of 03/16/2001 for GOLDMAN, G. by Project Number ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Project Number: CA-B*-AEC-6266-RR CRIS Number: 0174569 Multi-State Project: W-162 RURAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: ALTERNATIVES IN THE NEW COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT Investigators: Goldman, G. E. Performing Department: AGRICULTURAL AND RESOURCE ECON -- 8272 Start Date: 10/01/1997 Termination Date: 09/30/2002 Reporting period: 01/01/2000 to 12/31/2000 Progress Report: This project is the first attempt to estimate the economic impacts of the waste disposal and diversion system in California. The study develops a general model of the flow of selected disposed and diverted materials in the state, and uses economic impact analysis software to estimate statewide and regional economic impacts (in terms of total sales, value-added activity, and jobs) for disposal and diversion activities. While individual impacts for jurisdictions will vary because of differences in material flows and business and industrial infrastructures, generally, diversion in California generates large economic impacts. The economic impacts from diversion and disposal at 1999 rates are 16-19% higher than the impacts if all the waste was disposed. The study also looked at the economic impacts in six regions of California. Waste diversion and disposal at 1999 rates have stimulated the regional economies more than if all the generation had gone to disposal-only in all regions but the Eastern California Region. The cost advantages for diverted materials come partly from the saving of landfill fees. The added positive impacts of diversion come from sales of the separated materials, their processing into feedstock, sales of energy for transformation and biomass products, and the value added in manufacturing that uses recycled feedstock. Typically, for every marginal ton of waste disposed in 1999, we estimate that $108 in total income impacts and $144 in value-added impacts would have been generated in the state economy. Whereas, for every marginal ton of waste diverted, $206 in total income impacts and $286 in value-added impacts would be generated. The value-added impact measures the increase in the value of goods and services sold by all sectors of the economy minus the costs of inputs (excluding labor) used by the sectors in producing the goods or providing the services. Also, 2.46 total jobs would have been created in the economy for every marginal 1,000 tons of waste disposed, while 4.67 jobs would be created if the same volume of waste had been diverted as recyclables. The economic impacts from diversion are the highest in the Central Valley and Southern California Regions. These regions have more business and industrial infrastructure relative to other regions, and a high percentage of output generated in the waste industries are re-spent in the same regions. Relatively more recycling manufacturers are located in these regions, and they create more value-added and jobs within the regions. In both the Central Valley and Southern California Region, total output impacts are over $250 per ton more when the waste is diverted than disposed. The economic impacts presented in this study are a good but conservative estimate. The report is under review by the State of California Integrated Waste Management Board and will be published soon. Publications: (No publications reported.) Impact: This project demonstated the positive economic impact in California, and the regions of California, of diversion, as opposed to disposal, of waste material. This has important policy implications for diversion and recycling activities in the state. ------------------------------------------------------------------------