|
U.S. Department of Agriculture AD-421 Progress Report (investigator copy) U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, State Agricultural Experiment Stations and Other Institutions |
Date (Month, Day, Year) 02/11/2005 | ||
| 1. Accession 0194966 | Agency Identification No. 2. CSREES 3. OHO | 5. Work Unit/Project No. OHO01034-MRF | 6. Status Progress |
| 7. Title Rural Communities, Rural Labor Markets and Public Policy | |||
|
12. Investigator Name(s) (Last Name and Intitials) Kraybill, D. S.; Irwin, E. | |||
| 20. Termination Date 09/30/2007 | 40. Period Covered (mo/da/year): 01/01/2004 TO 12/31/2004 | ||
| 41.
Progress Report:
Research on factors influencing household location decisions and residential property values was completed in 2004. Two papers (joint with Morrow-Jones and Roe) were published in 2004 on amenities and residential location decisions. Both use data from a conjoint survey to identify trade-offs that households make in selecting a residential location. A third paper from the same dataset (also joint with Roe and Morrow-Jones) that is forthcoming in Applied Economic Letters considers how residential demand changed immediately after 9/11. A fourth paper (with Bayoh and Haab) dealing with how individual vs. neighborhood characteristics influence suburbanization was completed and is currently under consideration for publication in a special issue of the Journal of Regional Science. Model estimation for two additional papers (from Isaac Bayoh's dissertation work and joint with Bayoh and Roe) that deal with the effects of livestock facilities on residential property values was completed in 2004. Model estimation for a paper on the value of local parks was completed and the paper is currently in preparation with Jorge Maldenado. Other research completed in 2004 focused on the causes of urbanization and rural-to-urban land use change. Two peer-reviewed articles were published on this topic in 2004 (American Journal of Agricultural Economics and Regional Science and Urban Economics). These papers use parcel-level land use change data (from Ohio and Maryland respectively) to estimate a spatially explicit model of residential land conversion and then use the parameter estimates to predict how the spatial pattern of land conversion changes under alternative scenarios. An invited book chapter for an edited volume on urban economics was completed (Bockstael as coauthor) on the spatial pattern of land use in the U.S. Rocio Moreno completed her master's thesis on this topic, in which she developed a theoretical model of leapfrog development. A paper (Ulimwengu and Kraybill) on the differences in dynamic (long-term) poverty of households in metro versus nonmetro areas from 1979-2000 was published in the American Journal of Agricultural Economics. Evidence of metro-nonmetro differences in the incidence of poverty was found but the differences are relatively small in absolute terms and are tilted largely in favor of nonmetro areas. The analysis, conducted using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, calls into question the standard view that nonmetro poverty is worse than metro poverty. Another paper (Lobao and Kraybill) on the emerging roles of county governments was accepted for publication in Economic Development Quarterly. The paper identifies and analyzes the economic development and public service roles of metro and nonmetro counties using data from a large national survey of county governments conducted by the authors. | |||
|
42. Impact Land use policy personnel and local officials will gain a clearer understanding of factors that affect land use conversion. Agricultural and community leaders will gain a better understanding of the amenity value of farmland. Economic development officials will gain a better understanding of the accuracy of employment growth projections made by small businesses. The poverty analysis is expected to have impact among rural policy makers, especially at the federal level. Understanding the extent and incidence of transitory versus persistent poverty is important for developing strategies that target poor populations. The county government study has already been used by the National Association of Counties (NACo) and by many county governments throughout the United States to better understand trends in local government budgets. | |||
|
43. Publications Roe, Brian, Elena G. Irwin, and Hazel A. Morrow-Jones (accepted). Changes in Homeowner Preferences for Housing Density Following September 11, 2001, Applied Economics Letters. Irwin, Elena G. and Nancy E. Bockstael (2004). Land Use Externalities, Growth Management Policies, and Urban Sprawl. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 34(6): 705-25. Carrion-Flores, Carmen and Elena G. Irwin (2004). Determinants of Residential Land Use Conversion and Sprawl at the Rural-Urban Fringe. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 86(4): 889-904. Roe, Brian, Elena G. Irwin, and Hazel A. Morrow-Jones (2004). Estimating the Benefits of Farmland Preservation to Homeowners: Results of a Conjoint Analysis of Housing Choice. Land Economics, 80: 55-75. (senior authorship joint between Roe and Irwin) Morrow-Jones, Hazel, Elena G. Irwin and Brian Roe (2004). Consumer Preferences for Neotraditional Neighborhood Characteristics. Housing Policy Debate, 15(1): 171-202. Lobao, Linda and David S. Kraybill (2005, accepted). The Emerging Roles of County Governments in Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Areas: Findings from a National Survey. Economic Development Quarterly. Ulimwengu, John and David S. Kraybill (2004). Poverty Over Time and Location: An Examination of Metro-Nonmetro Differences. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 86(5): 1282-1288. | |||
| Approved (Signature) | Title | Date | |